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Currency risk management

CFD Trade examples

Example 1 
   
Assume that the investor predicts a strengthening of the Euro currency against the US dollar because of a possible ECB interest rate rise in the market. With 20 000 USD on XTB deposit account, he is certain of his view on the market and buys 2 EUR/USD CFD contracts at 1,2600.
 
Upon completion of this transaction the investor possesses an open position aimed at an increase in rate of EUR/USD worth 200 000 EUR. The initial deposit for securing the transaction is equal to 1%*200 000 EUR * 1,2600 (current EUR/USD rate) = i.e. 2.520 USD. The investor would gain profits if EUR/USD rate increases over 1,2600, whereas a price reduction below 1,2600 results in a negative balance on the transaction.
  
  • Day one
Rate of EUR/USD is 1,2500
The investor’s loss for 2 lots of  EUR/USD CFD is
 
200 000 EUR*(1,2500 - 1,2600) = - 2000 USD
 
He decides to hold the position and rolls it to next day. 
Rolling operation is automatic. His account will be billed with swap point value for one day.
According to X-Trade table, swap points for 1 lot total is -10USD.
Investor’s account will be charged 2*10 USD= 20 USD
  • Day two
Rate of EUR/USD is 1,2620
The investor gains profit equal to
 
200 000 EUR*(1,2620 - 1,2600)= 200 USD
 
The investor decides the profit is not rewarding and decides to hold
the position for the next day.
Again his account is charged with 20 USD swap points value. 
  • Day three
At 14:00 there is news concerning a possible decision about an ECB interest rate rise.The market is uneasy.
 
At 15:15 the EUR/USD rate is 1,2720
IThe ivestor decides that the current rate level is satisfactory and
closes his position at 1,2720.
His profit is
 
200 000*(1,2720 - 1,2600) = 3200 USD
 
However he incurred the cost of swap points for 2 days, so his net profit from the CFD transaction would be
 
3200 USD -2*20 USD = 3160 USD
   
Example 2
  
The investor foresees the strengthening of  the American currency against the Euro.
The investor holds 40.000 USD on his XTB investment account. He decides that the current rate of GBP/USD is excessively high and sells 1,5 CFD contracts of GBP/USD at 1,8900. As a result he has an open position aimed at a decreasing rate of GBP/USD worth 150.000 GBP.
  
Initial deposit for this position is equal to 1,5*1%*100.000 GBP i.e. equivalent of 1500 GBP in USD (2835 USD = 1500 GBP * 1,8900 GBP/USD). The investor would earn a profit if GBP/USD rate falls below 1,8900, the result of the transaction would be negative once the GBP/USD rises over 1,8900.
 
  • Day one
Closing rate of GBP/USD is 1,9000
The investor’s loss amounts to
 
150.000*(1,8900 - 1,9000)= - 1500 USD
 
Investor decides to hold the position and rolls it to next day.Because he sold GBP/USD, according to X-Trade’s table, his account will be credited with 1,5*5 USD = 7,5 USD, since swap points for GBP/USD on short position for one day are 5 USD
  • Day two
Closing rate of GBP/USD is 1,8920.
The investor decides that he misjudged the current situation on the market and closes the position.
The loss amounts to
 
150’000*(1,8900-1,8920) = 300 USD
 
However, the investor earned on swap points so his net result from the CFD transaction would be:

-292,50 USD = - 300 USD + 7,5 USD