CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

XTB Client Poll - 35% of clients see Trump as biggest risk to global stocks

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XTB clients believe Donald Trump poses the biggest risk to global stock markets

A poll taken of XTB UK clients highlighted that a majority of participants believe Donald Trump poses the biggest current threat to the stability of global stock markets - even more so than the prospect of Brexit or a slowdown in Chinese growth.

Highlights of XTB client responses:

  • 73% believe the US election will have a large impact on the financial markets
  • 70% would buy the US Dollar - expecting USD to strengthen - if Clinton wins
  • 68% would sell the US Dollar - expecting USD to weaken - if Trump wins
  • 58% feel a Clinton Presidency would be most supportive for global stocks
  • 35% picked a President Trump as the single biggest risk to global stock markets right now

“Flash crashes and volatility [expected] during the election results announcement”

-XTB client

XTB Client Poll - 2016 US Presidential Election: The results

The poll, that went out to field on 25th October 2016 - two weeks before US citizens go to polling stations to elect their 45th President of the United States - asked a series of questions relating to how XTB clients felt the markets would react to either a Clinton or Trump victory, and how they may trade under each scenario.

1.On a scale of 1-5 (1 being none at all and 5 being the most) what impact on the markets do you expect the election to have?

2. How would you trade USD following a Clinton victory?

3. How would you trade USD following a Trump victory?

4. Which President would be the most supportive to global stocks?

5. What do you think poses the biggest risk to global stock markets right now?

Summary

The poll highlighted a clear distinction in strategy amongst participants towards a Clinton or Trump win on November 8th. Perhaps the most surprising element of the poll is just how seriously XTB clients view a Trump victory could have on global stock markets. By rating a Trump win as a bigger risk to the stability of global stocks than Brexit or a slowdown in Chinese growth, which are both currently viewed as significant risks to the current market by most analysts, there is a clear feeling that investors are fearing the unknown that could accompany a Trump presidency.

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Disclaimer

This article is provided for general information purposes only. Any opinions, analyses, prices or other content is provided for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Any research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Any information provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. At time of publish, forty-five XTB clients had participated in the poll.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and any person acting on this information does so entirely at their own risk, we do not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. 

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This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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