Read more
13:48 ยท 4 May 2026

Crypto news ๐Ÿ“ˆ Bitcoin rebounds approaching $70k level

Against the backdrop of optimism in global equity markets, Bitcoin has climbed above $79k today and is attempting a sustained break of the $80k resistance level. This level is defined not only by its “round,” psychological significance, but also by the on-chain True Market Mean and dealer positioning. Inflows into Bitcoin have improved on the back of institutional demand and ETF buying, but distribution is still ongoing amid relatively weak spot demand.

Looking at the chart, the current rebound phase following the decline is clearly longer than the previous one, and its percentage range is also greater. However, this alone does not guarantee a return to an uptrend. The $82–83k zone, where the 200 EMA (red line) is located, may prove to be a เคจเคฟเคฐเฅเคฃujฤ…cy resistance area in the event of a more durable break above $80k. At this stage, the rebound still appears fragile, while the 14-day RSI has risen above 65.

Source: xStation5

The recent slowdown in Bitcoin’s upward momentum around the short-term holder cost basis has been confirmed by on-chain data. As the price approached $80k, short-term holders began aggressively realizing profits. The 24-hour SMA of STH realized profit surged to approximately $4 million per hour — around four times higher than the baseline observed since mid-April. Short-term investors used the rally as a selling opportunity, while demand lacked sufficient liquidity to absorb this wave of profit-taking. The question remains: will this time be different?

Source: Glassnode

Following the decline in implied volatility, the 25 Delta Skew illustrates how demand for protection evolved throughout April. The overall trend shows a decline in put premium, with the 1-month skew falling from around 18% to 12%. This reflects reduced demand for downside hedging as market conditions stabilized.

At the short end, the 1-week skew has been more reactive, repeatedly moving toward neutral levels of 2–4%. These moves were largely tactical, with pullbacks used to buy calls and sell downside protection. More recently, as the price approaches the $80k resistance, demand for puts has increased again. This has pushed skew back toward the 11 - 12% range across maturities. The market continues to maintain downside protection — reacting tactically in the short term while remaining cautious further along the curve.

Source: Glassnode

With declining volatility and lower skew, the market is increasingly focused on positioning, with the $80k level emerging as a key pivot. Sustained demand at the 80K strike across short and mid-term maturities suggests growing interest in upside exposure, rather than positioning for a rejection at resistance.

Key short gamma zones are located at $76k on the downside and $82k on the upside. In these areas, hedging flows can amplify price movements, especially in a low-liquidity environment. A break above $80k could bring spot closer to the $82k zone, where short gamma may force dealers to buy into strength, reinforcing the move. Positioning remains cautious, but the market is increasingly exposed to a sharper upside reaction if resistance is cleared.

Source: Glassnode

4 May 2026, 14:29

BREAKING: Iran attacks US ships? Oil prices surge

4 May 2026, 13:17

๐Ÿ’ถEurozone Industry: A Fragile Recovery Masking Stagflationary Risks

4 May 2026, 12:55

Chart of the day: EURUSD (04.05.2025)

4 May 2026, 10:55

Economic Calendar: PMI data in the spotlight; this weekโ€™s corporate calendar โฌ‡๏ธ

The material on this page does not constitute as financial advice and does not take into account your level of understanding, investment objectives, financial situation or any other particular needs.
All the information provided, including opinions, market research, mathematical results and technical analyses published on the website or transmitted to you by other means is provided for information purposes only and should in no event be interpreted as an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument, nor should the information provided be construed as advice of legal or fiscal nature.
Any investment decisions you make shall be based exclusively on your level of understanding, investment objectives, financial situation or any other particular needs. Any decision to act on information published on the website or transmitted to you by other means is entirely at your own risk. You are solely responsible for such decisions.
If you are in doubt or are not sure that you understand a particular product, instrument, service, or transaction, you should seek professional or legal advice before trading.
Investing in OTC Derivatives carries a high degree of risk, as they are leveraged based products and often small movements in the market could lead to much larger movements in the value of your investment and this could work against you or for you. Please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved, taking into account your investments objectives and level of experience, before trading, and if necessary, seek independent advice.

The financial instruments we offer, especially CFDs, can be highly risky. Please consider if you understand the risks and can afford the loss of capital. XTB is regulated by the CMA

The financial instruments we offer, especially CFDs, can be highly risky. Please consider if you understand the risks and can afford the loss of capital. XTB is regulated by the CMA

The financial instruments we offer are risky. XTB is regulated by the CMA.