In spite of a bigger-than-expected drop in US oil inventories, oil prices failed to catch a bid. A strong reversal occurred on the Brent (OIL) market yesterday in the afternoon after price failed to break above an important short-term resistance in the $115.25 area (orange circle). This zone is marked with previous price reactions, 200-period moving average (H4 interval) as well as 38.2% retracement of a recent upward impulse. A following pullback pushed the price to the support zone marked with 50% retracement and 50-period moving average in the $112 area. A break below may signal that a deeper pullback is looming. However, if bulls manage to defend this area, a right shoulder of the inverse head and shoulders pattern may be painted. If such defense is followed by a recovery move that pushes price above recent highs near 38.2% retracement, a stronger upward move may be on the cards. Potential range of an upside breakout from this pattern points to a move towards recent highs in $125 area.
Start investing today or test a free demoOpen real account TRY DEMO Download mobile app Download mobile app
The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.