- Saudi Arabia and Russia's supply cut announcement fails to offset concerns over manufacturing activity slowdown worldwide
- Deceleration in China, Eurozone, and the US manufacturing PMI data contribute to the downward pressure on WTI prices
Despite the supply cut efforts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, WTI crude oil prices continue to face downward pressure due to concerns about a global economic slowdown. The slowdown in manufacturing activity worldwide, as evident from PMI data, has overshadowed the impact of the supply cuts. China's manufacturing PMI indicates a modest expansion but a continued deceleration, while the Eurozone and Germany are experiencing deceleration and a technical recession. The US manufacturing PMI suggests a slowing economy, which could have implications for the rate hike decisions of the US Federal Reserve. Additionally, Russia's plan to reduce exports to boost oil prices is overshadowed by China's slow reopening.
Oil.WTI, D1 interval, source xStation 5
Start investing today or test a free demo
Create account Try a demo Download mobile app Download mobile appAmidst the deteriorating global manufacturing sector, the bearish sentiment for crude oil persists. Despite OPEC+ cuts and monetary stimulus from China, oil prices remain range-bound. The resistance at $73 has led to repeated rejections, maintaining a bearish bias. There is a possibility of testing the support level at $67.44 or further at $64, and a break below this level could trigger a significant downward movement towards the $57 level. Currently, the price is likely to test the $67.44 support, where buyers might enter the market. Otherwise, if buyers step in, the price may find support and potentially rally towards the $73 resistance zone.
The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.