Chart of the day - USDJPY (12.01.2023)

12:01 pm 12 January 2023

Japanese yen is one of the best performing major currencies today. JPY gains thanks to reports in Japanese media that suggested Bank of Japan is planning to review side effects of its loose monetary policy at a meeting next week. Markets took it as another sign that BoJ is about to scale back its dovish approach. The first major sign was widening of a band around target yield that also led to a significant strengthening of JPY.

Taking a look at USDJPY chart at H4 interval, we can see that the pair has been trading in a downward move recently. The pair attempted to extend upward correction and break above the upper limit of the Overbalance structure at the end of the previous week but failed. This week's attempt to recover was halted at the 100-period exponential moving average. A break below recent lows in the 131.50 area would pave the way for a test of 129.50 area, that marks low of the whole downward impulse.

The pair will also be on watch later today when the US CPI report for December is released. Economists expect reading to show deceleration in both headline and core gauges of US consumer inflation. Headline CPI is seen dropping from 7.1 to 6.5% YoY while core CPI is seen dropping from 6.0 to 5.7% YoY. Report will be key for assessing whether the Fed will go with a 25 or 50 basis point rate hike at its next meeting. 

Source: xStation5

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