Daily Summary: Coffee, Natgas slumps dominate Monday’s trading

7:19 pm 23 December 2019

Modest moves on FX and indies but some major moves in the commodity sphere – that’s the summary of Monday that started a Holiday-chopped week.

The calendar for Monday was relatively light with the 2 key readings both from the US: durable orders and new home sales. Both were below expectations and especially the orders missed the consensus significantly amid a major decline of defense aircraft orders. The reports were negative for the dollar but failed to impress markets.

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The FX front was rather quiet with GBP being a loser and the BRL dominating the EM segment. In UK the Brexit reality begins to settle and investors cool their enthusiasm for the pound. The BRL gains on rumours that president Trump promised not to slap tariffs on Brazil’s steel. EURUSD looked very well positioned for a bounce but weak US reports translated only into a minor move.

Indices were barely moved with US tech showing no signs of cooling and pulling US100 and US500 towards fresh all-time highs. US2000 inched down a bit, perhaps reflecting more down-to-earth business expectations. Europe was mixed with UK100 gaining on weak GBP and ITA40 in the red. DE30 was stuck to 13300 pivotal level as the German market remains a bit reluctant to follow the US into euphoria.

NATGAS prices once again test the key $2.20 support. Source: xStation5

The commodity market was much more lively with Coffee and NATGAS down by 4% each and Zinc down by more than 2%. Coffee market remains very volatile as investors have nothing but speculation about a degree of next year’s deficit for now and although stronger BRL should be supportive, it wasn’t the case today. NATGAS prices suffer amid mild weather forecasts. Meanwhile precious metals rip higher with platinum gaining over 2% and silver over 1% showing  increased interest among investors despite generally upbeat sentiment.  

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

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