Daily summary: US100 drops before earnings, oil gains on geopolitical tensions

10:06 pm 30 January 2024

  • Wall Street is losing momentum and slowing down from recent dynamic gains. US100 is down 0.80% ahead of key reports from tech giants after the session closes. US500 shows a smaller decline of 0.15%.

  • The dollar does not show significant volatility, trading around 0% ahead of tomorrow's Fed decision. EURUSD is unchanged today.

  • Today's JOLTS data in the US economy was higher than expected, but a year-to-year decline is noticeable. The reading remains close to recent lows but still significantly above pre-pandemic highs: current data 9.026M; forecast 8.750M; previously 8.925M;

  • The Conference Board Index was slightly revised upwards to 114.85 compared to 114.40 in the first reading and 110 previously. Meanwhile, inflation expectations dropped to 5.2% from 5.6% previously, the lowest since 2020.

  • Today's publication of GDP reports from EU countries showed strong growth for Italy and France. In Germany, the economic decline continues, but to a lesser extent than in Q3.

  • Italy:

    • Annual GDP: 0.5% y/y (expected: 0.2% y/y; previously: 0.1% y/y)
    • Quarterly GDP: 0.2% q/q (expected: 0.0% q/q; previously: 0.1% q/q)
  • Germany:

    • Annual GDP: -0.2% y/y (expected: -0.2% y/y; previously: -0.4% y/y)
    • Quarterly GDP: -0.3% q/q (expected: -0.3% q/q; previously: -0.1% q/q)
  • Crude oil gains amid geopolitical concerns; wheat contracts on the CBOT in Chicago also see a 1% increase, staying above $600 per bushel.

  • The leader of the Houthi fighters in Yemen indicated that their forces are ready to continue repelling attacks from the US and UK. Joe Biden stated that the USA does not want to risk wider escalation but has already decided on a response to Houthi actions.

  • Ethereum records a 2.5% increase. Analysts at Standard Chartered expect ETF applications for Ethereum to be accepted in late May this year. Sentiment among other cryptocurrencies remains mixed, though there is a slight rebound in the broader altcoin market.

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

Share:
Back

Join over 1 600 000 XTB Group Clients from around the world.