Daily summary: USDJPY surges 1.8% as US dollar gains 🗽Mixed sentiments on Wall Street; oil prices drop

8:56 pm 2 October 2024

  • Wednesday's session on European stock markets ended in a mixed mood. Germany's DAX closed the session nearly 0.33% lower, while France's CAC40 added 0.05%, and Poland's WIG20 managed to resist supply pressure and closed 0.08% higher. The bullish rally was extended today by the Hang Seng index, although individual Chinese companies listed on Wall Street no longer show this optimism, to such an extent. 
  • On Wall Street, declines dominate. The only index that gains intraday is the Nasdaq (+0.1%). The worst performer at the moment is the Russell 2000, which is down 0.22%. Although sentiment in the U.S. stock market is quite weak, the VIX index is down 1%
  • The S&P 500 failed to rebound and is trading down slightly in the second part of the session. Estimated deliveries reported by Tesla disappointed investors today, at 462 890 vs 463,897 exp. while production came in above forecasts. Tesla loses today almost 6%

 

  • Production of 469,796 vehicles vs. 465,828 forecasts
  • Model 3/Y Deliveries 439,975, vs. 435,920 forecasts
  • Other models Production 26,128, vs. 17,640 forecasts

 

  • Humana shares record 15% sell-off driven by lower demand for the company's pension insurance. Nike shares reprice nearly 7% in response to disappointing sales and a pullback in annual forecasts; not helped by improved margins and a positive surprise in net income
  • In the FX market, the number one theme remains the Japanese yen, which is already weakening nearly 1.8% against the dollar on an intraday basis, following dovish comments by Japan's new Prime Minister Ishiba. 
  • Fed's Barkin commented that: 'I am watching closely how lower interest rates influence home and auto sales to see if demand risks outrunning supply. 50 BPS of cuts shown as the median Fed policymaker projection for the rest of this year would also take a little bit of the edge off rates.'
  • A lack of common direction also characterizes the precious metals market today, where on the one hand we see 0.6% increases in silver prices, and on the other 0.5% declines in gold prices. 
  • ADP non-farm employment change in the US (Sep): Current: 143k; Forecast: 124k; Previously: 89k. We see a strengthening of the dollar today, evident in a 0.2% drop in the eurodollar; stronger labor market data supported yields 
  • Oil prices fall and erase some of the gains after yesterday's rally. Israel has so far failed to respond to Iran's attack, although the White House as well as the IDF are still considering a military response. The OPEC+ cartel has agreed to ease production cuts in December, WSJ reports. In addition, OPEC said the organization is working with Russia, Kazakhstan and Iraq to offset past overproduction. Oil is also trading under pressure from higher-than-expected US inventories.

US crude oil inventories:: +3.8900 million Forecast -1.500 million; Previously -4.471 million 

  • Distillate: -1,284 million (Estimated -2,000 million; Previously -2,227 million)
  • - Cushing: +840 thousand (previously +116 thousand)
  • - Gasoline: +1.119 million (estimated +200 thousand; previously -1.538 million)

Wheat contracts rose more than 2% today, supported by escalation in the Middle East, weather premium; drought in the Black Sea region, Russia and the southern plains of the US. Cryptocurrency market sentiment remains weak, with Bitcoin trading at $61,500.

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

Share:
Back

Join over 1 600 000 XTB Group Clients from around the world.