Daily summary: Wall Street falls at the end of the month

8:54 pm 31 August 2022

  • The ADP report shows low employment growth for August, at 132,000, (300,000 expected) 

  • This report is being published for the first time since June. Banks in the U.S. have no doubt that the ADP report better reflects reality, which could indicate a very weak NFP

  • The dollar was very strong for the first part of the day, also leading to a strong sell-off in gold, which reached $1,710 per ounce

  • Gold is back around the previous month's minima, reducing strongly the rebound that took place due to the Fed Pivot

  • EURUSD tests the peaks of last Friday's Jackson Hole symposium, after much speculation of a 75bps hike emerged

  • Goldman Sachs, Bofa point to such a move by the ECB next week, with the market pricing in 75 bps by the end of October

  • Crude oil inventories fall by more than 3 million barrels per day, stronger than expectations. Gasoline stocks also fall sharply, but demand data already show a weaker picture

  • Oil reserves fall to the lowest level since 1984

  • Indices continue to sell off. S&P 500, Nasdaq are likely to score about 4% drop from full-month perspective

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