The dovish remarks from the Fed Chair are supporting valuations of risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. The shift in sentiment is fuelling gains in Bitcoin and Ethereum, which are benefiting from dollar weakness and rallies across global equity markets.
- Beyond the leading cryptocurrencies, the rally is also “spilling over” into smaller coins, known as altcoins. Chainlink, Uniswap, and Sushi stand out in terms of momentum, although none of them match Ethereum’s current upward drive.
- Historically, the market may have entered an “Ethereum dominance” phase, which in previous bull cycles tended to emerge after months of sustained Bitcoin-led rallies.
- If the current bull market unfolds similarly to 2020–2021, other projects such as Chainlink, Cardano, or Ripple may only begin stronger upward phases once the market starts to gradually take profits in Ethereum.
- Of course, there is no guarantee that the present crypto rally will mirror the previous one. However, for several months we have seen ETH steadily gaining ground over BTC, a dynamic that is increasingly drawing Wall Street’s attention.
ETHEREUM (D1)
The cryptocurrency has endured a difficult week; market uncertainty and capital outflows from speculative assets pushed Ethereum down 13% since Monday. Powell’s speech, however, helped erase most of these losses. Following the conference, ETH surged 9% and is now holding around $4,640. The coin is only 5% away from its all-time high.
Start investing today or test a free demo
Create account Try a demo Download mobile app Download mobile appTechnical analysis suggests that between June and July, ETH broke out of its previous ascending channel and established a new, steeper one. The market defended the 200-day moving average during consolidation, and the price is now trading above the EMA15, EMA50, EMA100, and EMA200. The final resistance zone lies between $4,866 and the current valuation. On the downside, key support levels stand at $3,944 and $3,351, reinforced by the trend line and the 50-day moving average. Attention should also be given to a demand gap at the lower boundary of the ascending channel, signalling trend strength, as well as the broadening structure of the rally, which suggests heightened volatility ahead.
Source: xStation5
BITCOIN (D1)
The situation looks broadly similar for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. Its valuation had been pressured by concerns over Fed policy and the broader economic outlook, but Powell’s comments allowed Bitcoin to recover a significant portion of its recent losses. However, the price has not shown the same degree of optimism as Ethereum, despite a comparable scale of the prior declines.
On the daily chart, Bitcoin appears to be forming another highly geometric consolidation channel, bounded between $111,844 and $124,464. The market failed to defend the short-term uptrend line, though support from the medium-term trend zone has held. The relatively weaker rebound highlights softer demand compared to Ethereum.
Source: xStation5
The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.