Mary Daly and Raphael Bostic of the Federal Reserve commented today on the state of monetary policy and the US economy. USDIDX is gaining 0.5%.
Fed Bostic
Start investing today or test a free demo
Create account Try a demo Download mobile app Download mobile app- I am in favor of no rate hikes until the end of the year. PCE inflation can reach the target at the end of 2024, Maybe in 2025.
- Inflation has dropped significantly, but reaching 2% is difficult. I expect financial standards to tighten by summer.
- Credit risk is likely to come, and real estate could be a threat.
- I expect the unemployment rate to rise from historically low levels. The banking sector is quite strong.
Fed Daly
- The risks of insufficient and excessive tightening are more or less balanced.
- It is reasonable to slow the pace of policy tightening as the target approaches
- I strongly support the June decision to hold rates and watch the data
- Two rate hikes this year is a very reasonable forecast but not certain
- The credit tightening so far is in line with what one would expect even without the March banking turmoil
- I remain vigilant about additional tightening; this is a good time to slow the pace of rate hikes.
- Inflation expectations and the frequency and magnitude of price changes are in a downward trajectory
Source: xStation5
The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.
