What to expect from Amazon's earnings ❓

7:53 pm 30 April 2024

The most important report of the day as far as the U.S. market and the Big-Tech sector is concerned will be Amazon's (AMZN.US) quarterly report today. The results will be presented to the public after the close of the cash session on Wall Street, and are expected to prove relatively favorable for the company itself. Analysts estimate that the e-commerce giant's sales rose 12% in the first quarter, driven by its cloud computing and advertising business. So what to expect from the results and what is worth paying special attention to? Let's find out together!

What factors to pay special attention to?

  1. Investors will be watching to see if the company's artificial intelligence efforts drive Amazon Web Services' results (AWS sales excluding foreign exchange could rise 13%).
  1. In the last report, phrases related to AI were mentioned 30 times, illustrating the company's commitment to the sector.
  1. Investors will also be watching for updates on Prime Video's ad deployment. The sector could generate about $6.5 billion in additional revenue. As many as 56% of those surveyed by Bloomberg indicated that they had increased their ad spending on Amazon by 10% year-over-year. (These will be Amazon's first financial results since the company introduced ads to Prime Video in January, creating a new source of revenue!)
  1. Operating margin may increase due to cost efficiency and advertising contribution (+104% y/y).

Key financial metrics we'll be looking at:

Q1

  • Estimated net sales of $142.59 billion (+11.96% y/y)
  • Estimated operating profit $10.95 billion (+129.41% y/y)
  • Estimated operating margin 7.63% (+103.5% y/y)
  • Estimated EPS of 82 cents (+166.85% y/y)
  • Estimated net sales at online stores $54.77 billion (+7.18% y/y)
  • Estimated net sales in physical stores $5.08 billion (+3.86% y/y)
  • Estimated net sales of third-party vendor services $34.63 billion (+16.13% y/y)
  • Estimated net sales of subscription services $10.83 billion (+12.17% y/y)
  • Estimated AWS net sales $24.11 billion (+12.91% y/y)
  • Estimated net sales in North America $85.55 billion (+11.28% y/y)
  • Estimated international net sales $32.47 billion (+11.48% y/y)
  • Estimated order fulfillment costs $22.4 billion (+7.17% y/y)

The company may also provide guidance for Q2 results. Here are our forecasts:

  • Estimated net sales of $150.21 billion (+11.78% y/y)
  • Estimated operating profit of $12.54 billion (+63.46% y/y)

In the broad market, Amazon is seen as one of the leaders in the implementation of AI tools in its business process. Given the dependence of market sentiment on the progressive adoption of this sector of the economy, we can expect the reaction to AWS's performance to induce high volatility in the company's stock valuations after the close of trading. Amazon believes that its cloud-based generative artificial intelligence services can generate billions in revenue in the coming years and has invested heavily in the technology to accelerate its development. 

The company's chart before today's report (D1 interval):

The options market now implies that the magnitude of this volatility could reach up to +-8%. Disclaimer: Indications of implied volatility of the options market do not constitute recommendations under the law! Source: xStation

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

Share:
Back

Join over 1 600 000 XTB Group Clients from around the world.