Afternoon wrap (10.04.2023)

4:57 pm 10 April 2023

  • Global growth is set to slow to 2% this year, while US growth is expected to slow to 1.2% vs. 2.1% last year, according to World Bank forecasts
  • The most important event of the day was the statement by Ueda, the new governor of the Bank of Japan, who suggested possible changes in monetary policy, but they will be slow and small. The Bank of Japan's policy will remain accommodative, but they may be some changes in the form of a yield curve control program
  • Gold fell below $2,000 an ounce today as US yields increased once again on a increasing probability of interest rate hike in May
  • The US dollar strengthened significantly against the euro and the yen. EURUSD was trading around 1.0850. The probability of a Fed rate hike in May has increased to 70%
  • Oil is stabilizing around $80 a barrel after last week's OPEC+ production cut. On the other hand, volatility declined significantly as expectations of an economic slowdown increased, offsetting a decrease of output target from OPEC+
  • US indices started negatively after prolonged weekend due to rising probability of US hikes
  • American gas surprises and gains over 6% today

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