BREAKING: Powell speech (live)

7:10 pm 19 October 2023

The most important remarks said by Jerome Powell regarding the current economic condition and policy outlook:

  • THE POLICY-SETTING COMMITTEE IS PROCEEDING CAREFULLY
  • GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS `HIGHLY ELEVATED,' POSE KEY RISKS
  • POLICY STANCE IS RESTRICTIVE
  • MORE EVIDENCE OF ABOVE-TREND GROWTH, OR THAT LABOR MARKET NO LONGER EASING, COULD WARRANT FURTHER MONETARY POLICY TIGHTENING
  • SIGNIFICANT TIGHTENING IN FINANCIAL CONDITIONS WITH HIGHER BOND YIELDS CAN HAVE IMPLICATIONS FOR POLICY; WE REMAIN ATTENTIVE
  • THERE MAY STILL BE MEANINGFUL TIGHTENING IN THE PIPELINE
  • THE TASK OF BALANCING TOO MUCH TIGHTENING VS TOO LITTLE IS COMPLICATED BY A RANCE OF UNCERTAINTIES
  • INFLATION STILL TOO HIGH
  • RETURN TO 2% INFLATION LIKELY TO REQUIRE PERIOD OF BELOW-TREND GROWTH, SOME FURTHER SOFTENING OF LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS
  • LOWER SUMMER INFLATION READINGS VERY FAVORABLE, SEPTEMBER DATA SOMEWHAT LESS ENCOURAGING
  • RECENT DATA SHOWS ONGOING PROGRESS TOWARD INFLATION AND EMPLOYMENT GOALS

TREASURY YIELDS EDGE LOWER AFTER POWELL COMMENTS ON RATES

SHORT-TERM US INTEREST-RATE FUTURES UP AFTER FED'S POWELL SPEECH, AS TRADERS KEEP BETS ON NO MORE RATE HIKES

05:38 pm BST update

  • IT'S POSSIBLE WE ARE GOING INTO A MORE INFLATIONARY PERIOD, BUT IT'S HARD TO KNOW
  • IT DOES NOT FEEL LIKE POLICY IS TOO TIGHT.
  • HIGHER BOND YIELDS IS A TIGHTENING, AND AT MARGIN COULD REDUCE NEED FOR FED TO TIGHTEN.
  • WITH HINDSIGHT, IT IS POSSIBLE THE FED COULD HAVE DONE LESS DURING THE PANDEMIC.

Source: xStation 5

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