- The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) considered its last interest rate hike as a finely balanced decision.
- There is increasing frustration due to the lack of stimulus in China.
The Australian dollar (AUD) has become more volatile following the release of RBA minutes and the People's Bank of China (PBoC) interest rate decision. The RBA's minutes revealed a balanced stance in votes regarding interest rates, which dampened expectations of further tightening in the near future. However, the RBA remains committed to achieving its target range for inflation. Furthermore, the AUD's performance has been influenced by concerns about the Chinese economy's recovery after the COVID-19 pandemic. As investors worry about China's economic outlook, the Australian dollar, often seen as a liquid proxy for the Chinese yuan, has declined. The absence of new policy stimulus from Beijing has led to frustration in the markets, affecting the AUD's performance alongside a drop in the Chinese yuan.
From the technical perspective, AUDUSD price is 0.6% lower at 0.6810. The price attempted to break above a resistance level at 0.6887 but faced rejection, resulting in a retracement towards the support zone around 0.6793. Currently, the price consolidates and if it fails to hold above this 0.6793 level, the next support zone can be found around 0.6707. On the other hand, if the price manages to bounce back, it can potentially come back towards 0.6887. H4 interval, source xStation 5
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