Bank of England is scheduled to announce a monetary policy decision today at 12:00 pm GMT. There is no clear consensus for the meeting as economists polled by Bloomberg are almost 50-50 split on what to expect. Half of them expects BoE to leave rates unchanged while the other half expects a 15 basis points rate hike. Interest rate derivatives are pricing in a hike today. Whatever the decision will be, it surely won't be unanimous. While BoE Governor Bailey has recently said that the Bank should act, he did explicitly say that it should act now. Lack of a rate hike today could cement the decision for December meeting. With high expectations for today's meeting, lack of a rate hike could be negative for GBP. Rate hike should be more or less neutral.
A look at GBPUSD at H1 interval shows that the pair has been trading in a downtrend since October 20, 2021. The most recent upward impulse was halted near the upper limit of a local market geometry at 1.3700. The pair turned lower later on and is currently attempting to break below the support at 1.3640, where the 50-hour moving average can also be found (green line). Recent lows near 1.3600 will become the next target for beas in case of a break below 1.3640.
Start investing today or test a free demo
Create account Try a demo Download mobile app Download mobile appSource: xStation5
The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.