Daily summary: Energy prices rally as West considers cutting off Russian oil

10:28 pm 7 March 2022

  • US will suspend trade ties with Russia, including energy imports
  • EU seek only a cautious 'phase out' from Russian energy
  • Oil price highest  since 2008
  • Gold briefly jumped above $2000 for the first time since Aug 2020

European indices finished today's session sharply lower, with DAX 30 falling almost 2% to a 16-month low of 12,850 amid lingering fears higher energy prices stemming from the Russia-Ukraine conflict would boost inflation and hit economic growth. EU leaders decided to phase out dependency on Russian gas, oil and coal, however no ban on energy commodities imports from Russia was announced so far, mainly due to Germany objections. It is worth to remember that revenues from oil and gas sectors accounted for 45% of Russia’s federal budget in January. Therefore it seems that cutting Putin off from his main source of financing may be the quickest way to end the war, especially that diplomatic solutions still did not have any impact on the Kremlin's main tenant. Third round of negotiation between Ukraine and Russian officials did not bring any major breakthroughs, however both sides are willing to continue talks. Traders from Europe will focus tomorrow on Eurozone employment and GDP data, before the ECB monetary policy meeting and macroeconomic forecasts on Thursday.

Downbeat moods prevail on Wall Street where Nasdaq fell 2.4% as investors continued to assess stagflation risks to the global economy. The US House and Senate have announced an agreement on legislation to suspend normal trade relations with Russia and Belarus. That includes banning Russian energy imports as the US is less reliant on Russian oil. Investors try to figure out how the ongoing tensions will affect the central bank's next rate decision. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell pointed to a 25 basis point rate hike at the March policy meeting but said the central bank is prepared to move more aggressively later if inflation does not abate as expected. 

Oil prices launched this week sharply higher. WTI crude futures jumped briefly above $130 per barrel, the highest since 2008, before paring gains to around $117 per barrel amid talks regarding embargo of Russian oil in response to the Ukraine invasion. Meanwhile, negotiations regarding the Iran nuclear deal stalled following Russia’s demand for written US guarantees that sanctions on Russia would not hurt its trade with Iran. China also reportedly made similar demands regarding its trade with Iran, complicating efforts to seal a nuclear deal.

The escalation of Russia's aggression in Ukraine is supporting the prices of precious metals. Gold continues to rise after the breakout from the triangle formation. Source: xStation5

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

Share:
Back

Join over 1 600 000 XTB Group Clients from around the world.