Daily summary: Inflation data boosts USD

9:48 pm 14 February 2023

  • US headline CPI inflation decelerated from 6.5 to 6.4% in January (exp. 6.2% YoY) while core gauge moved from 5.7 to 5.6% YoY (exp. 5.5% YoY)

  • Higher-than-expected US CPI reading boosted hawkish bets in the markets, leading to a drop on Wall Street and strengthening of US dollar

  • Moves, especially on the USD market, were further magnified by rather hawkish comments from Fed members - Logan, Barkin and Harker. All three signaled need for more tightening to bring down inflation

  • However, comments can be as somewhat cautious as a 'data-dependant' mantra was present in all speeches

  • Strong USD exerted massive pressure on precious metals with platinum dropping 2% and palladium trading around 4% lower at press time. Gold has managed to recover from earlier drop and is now trading 0.3% higher on the day

  • US indices have erased a big part of earlier losses but still trade 0.1-0.4% lower. Nasdaq is an outperformer with a 0.2% gain at press time

  • Stock markets from Western Europe finished the day higher with French CAC40 and UK FTSE 100 gaining 0.1% and Spanish Ibex rallying 0.7%. However, German DAX lagged and finished the day with a 0.1% drop

  • In spite of rather risk-off moves on the global markets, cryptocurrencies trade higher. Bitcoin and Dogecoin trade around 2.1% higher each while Ethereum jumps almost 4%

  • Energy commodities traded little changed. However, US natural gas was an exception as it jumped over 5% today. Jump in US natural gas prices can be explained with news of Freeport LNG terminal resuming exports

  • Japanese GDP grew by 0.2% QoQ in Q4 2022 (exp. +0.5% QoQ)

  • Euro area GDP grew by 0.1% QoQ in Q4 2022 (exp. +0.1% QoQ)

  • UK average earnings growth decelerated from 6.5% in November to 5.9% YoY in December (exp. 6.2% YoY). Unemployment rate stayed unchanged at 3.7% (exp. 3.7%)

  • Polish GDP shrank by 2.4% QoQ in Q4 2022 (exp. -0.4% QoQ)

EURUSD has been very volatile this afternoon following the release of the US CPI report for January. Pair tested the 1.08 mark in a knee-jerk move but bulls failed to hold onto those gains and EURUSD quickly pulled back below the 200-hour moving average (purple line). Source: xStation5

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

Share:
Back

Join over 1 600 000 XTB Group Clients from around the world.