Daily summary: Stock rally loses momentum

8:40 pm 21 May 2020

• Global stocks lower amid US-China Tensions
• PMI readings  showed that major economies continue to contract at a steep pace
• US Initial Jobless Claims Top 2.4M

European markets closed in the red at the end of a volatile session on Thursday amid rising US-China tensions. The US Senate a passed a bill  that could prevent some Chinese companies from listing their shares on US exchanges if they fail to comply with the US audits for three consecutive years. Also President Trump's new attack on Beijing’s handling of the pandemic raised concerns about the trade deal reached last year. On the economic data front, the latest claims report showed 2.438 million people filed unemployment claims during the week ended May 16th, slightly above analysts’ forecasts of 2.4 million and bringing the total to near 39 million since the beginning of pandemic. Today a lot of PMI readings for Germany, Great Britain, France  and US were published. Some of them turned out to be better than expected, nevertheless it is worth stressing out that all of the readings came in below 50 points, which means that the economy is shrinking. During today’s trading session DAX 30 lost 1.4%, CAC40 dropped 1.2 % and FTSE 100 finished 0.9% lower.

Wall Street's main indexes dropped about 1% on Thursday as investors worried about escalating U.S.-China trade tensions and concerns over a quick rebound from a coronavirus-led economic slump. Later in the session US equities managed to recover some of the early losses. Dow Jones is currently down 0.27%,  S&P500 fell 0.55% and Nasdaq is trading 0.58 % lower.

However despite grim macroeconomic outlook, the S&P 500 is less than 15% from its historical highs. Recent rally was driven mostly by technology companies  such as Facebook or Amazon, which are currently trading at their record levels. The Nasdaq technology index is only a few percent away from its historical highs, and, for example, Amazon's capitalization of $ 1.25 trillion is greater than all companies from the German DAX index, which includes 30 companies.  However from a technical point of view, the S&P 500 might be overvalued. According to Bloomberg,  S&P 500 is trading approximately 10% above the 50-day average. Last time similar situation occured in 2009. If the story were to repeat itself, there is a chance that now the S&P 500 might start trading in a sideways range.

Gold price is drifting away from a near eight-year high, heading for its first loss in three sessions on Thursday, as the strong US dollar put more selling pressure on the metal. “Gold seems to have lost a little momentum since breaking above $1,750 and the rise in the dollar today doesn’t seem to be helping,” “However, the enormous amount of monetary stimulus in the system, the need for that to continue for some time and the inflation risk are all bullish for gold in the longer term,” OANDA analyst Craig Erlam said in an interview with CNBC.

Japan's Consumer Price Index, BoJ interest rate decision and Monetary Policy Statement will be the key releases of the Asian session while UK retail sales  and ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts will be on watch during European trading hours.

Gold failed to break above key $1750.00/oz resistance level and the price pulled back. Metal is currently testing 20 MA (green line). Key support is located at round $1700.00/ oz level. Source: xStation5

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

Share:
Back

Join over 1 600 000 XTB Group Clients from around the world.