Daily summary: US stocks erase earlier gains as investors digest inflation figures

9:16 pm 12 April 2022

  • US CPI inflation highest since December 1981
  • Russian troops reportedly used chemical weapons in Mariupol
  • OPEC cuts forecasts for both global oil consumption and supply

European indices recorded another session of losses, with DAX 30 losing 0.5% amid concerns that rising inflation and higher interest rates could push the EU economy into a recession. March inflation in Germany rose to 7.3%, a level not seen since 1981, while wholesale inflation hit a record high. Markets are gearing up for Thursday’s ECB meeting and will look for clues regarding central banks next steps. At the same time, worries about a prolonged war in Ukraine continued to weigh on market sentiment.  The EU is reportedly drafting proposals for an oil embargo on Russia after unconfirmed news that chemical weapons might have been used in Mariupol. Putin today said talks were at a 'dead end', something that suggests a new offensive is imminent. In terms of individual share price movement, shares of Deutsche Bank dropped over 9%, while Commerzbank was down 8.5%.

Wall Street indices erased all early gains and are currently trading near the flatline as investors monitored the latest reading of US inflation data ahead of the kickoff of the earnings season on Wednesday.US inflation in March accelerated to 8.5% YoY from 7.9% YoY, slightly above market expectations. Monthly reading was 1.2% MoM, which shows that we are still struggling with growing price pressure and not only the base effect. On the other hand, it is worth noting that mainly fuel, food and housing prices increased. If we take into account the core inflation, which deducts the two above-mentioned aspects, the monthly dynamics amounted to “only” 0.3% MoM, with the expectation of an increase by 0.5% MoM. If the crude oil price stays around the $100 per barrel region, then inflation may stabilize, however this may probably occur only in the middle of the year.

Precious metals moved sharply higher partially thanks to Putin comments, while WTI crude price rose over 6% and managed to return above the psychological barrier at $100 per barrel, following the news that Shanghai eased some virus restrictions and OPEC lowered expectations regarding global oil consumption and supply this year. Major cryptocurrencies are trying to defend key support levels. Bitcoin swings around $40,000 level while Ethereum bulls try to keep the price above $3000 handle.

USDCHF extended earlier declines following the release of US CPI inflation report, however sellers failed to break below major support at 0.9290. In the evening buyers regained control and price jumped above the earlier broken lower limit of the triangle formation. Source: xStation5

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

Share:
Back

Join over 1 600 000 XTB Group Clients from around the world.