8:58 am · 22 October 2025

Morning wrap (22.10.2025)

Key takeaways
US100
Indices CFDs
-
-
AUD/USD
Forex
-
-
GOLD
Commodities CFDs
-
-
Key takeaways
  • Netflix drops around 6% in the premarket after disapointing earnings.
  • Gold and silver halt record profit-taking.
  • USD loses on renewed risk appetite.

  • Major stock indexes in the US and Europe are trading slightly higher after a record session for the DJIA and ahead of earnings from SAP and Tesla (US100: +0.15%, EU50: +0.05%, DE40 flat).

  • Netflix shares are down about 6% in after-hours trading after weaker-than-expected Q3 2025 results. Revenue came in at $11.51 billion versus Bloomberg’s consensus of $11.52 billion (company forecast: $11.53 billion), and EPS at $5.87 versus $6.94 expected. The operating margin fell to 28% due to a one-off tax charge in Brazil. On the upside, Netflix guided above consensus for Q4, forecasting $11.96 billion in revenue and a 29% margin in 2025. User engagement was described as “healthy,” with future growth expected to be driven largely by its advertising business.

  • ECB chief economist Philip Lane warned that euro-area banks remain exposed to risks from a potential tightening of US dollar funding, which accounts for up to 28% of their liabilities. Despite stronger liquidity buffers, a sudden dollar shortage could curb lending, prompting Lane to call for tighter monitoring of USD risks.

  • Sentiment across Asia-Pacific is mixed amid profit-taking in the tech sector. CHN.cash and HK.cash are down 0.3% and 0.4%, respectively, while JP225 trades slightly higher (+0.8%).

  • Japan’s exports rebounded 4.2% YoY in September (Bloomberg consensus: 4.6%, previous: -0.1%). The weaker than expected result was mainly due to a 13.3% drop in shipments to the US after new tariffs, offset by strong growth to Asia (+9.2%), China (+5.8%), and the EU (+5.0%), supported by demand for IT and semiconductor products. Imports rose 3.3%, driven by machinery and electrical equipment, indicating sustained capital investment. Despite the trade deficit, the data support Japan’s ongoing economic recovery and raise expectations for further BoJ rate hikes.

  • India and the US are reportedly close to finalizing a trade deal that would cut tariffs on Indian goods from 50% to around 15–16%. As part of the agreement, India would gradually reduce imports of Russian oil and allow GMO corn imports. The deal could be signed at the APEC Summit and would likely boost India’s stock market.

  • In FX, the dollar is undergoing a broad correction with flows out of other safe havens (yen and franc) toward riskier currencies. The strongest G10 performers are the Antipodean currencies (AUDUSD: +0.25%, NZDUSD: +0.3%). EURUSD rebounds 0.1% to 1.1615 after four straight sessions of declines.

  • Key precious metals turned positive despite early selling, reflecting profit-taking and valuation concerns. Gold is up 0.3% to $4,136/oz, silver +0.5% to $48.98/oz. Solid Wall Street results may further weigh on safe-haven demand.

  • Brent and WTI crude rise 0.6% and 1.1%, respectively, while NATGAS extends gains by another 1% after contract rollovers.

22 October 2025, 10:29 am

Economic calendar: All eyes on earnings; EIA report and ECB speeches (22.10.2025)

22 October 2025, 12:11 am

Netflix disappoints with Q3 2025 results. Shares drop over 5% in after-hours trading!

21 October 2025, 9:12 pm

Daily summary: Markets on Hold Ahead of Netflix Earnings

21 October 2025, 8:25 pm

OpenAI threatens Google’s dominance. Alphabet shares under pressure.

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

Join over 1 700 000 XTB Group Clients from around the world.