Volatility spike in the 2nd part of the day 💡

6:25 pm 9 September 2024

🚨NATGAS widens declines to 5%, US100 caps early gains

The second part of the session in the markets brings a jump in volatility on many instruments. Natural gas-based contracts extend early declines to 5%, while Wall Street indices reverse much of the euphoric gains from the session's opening. The market is waiting with uncertainty for the CPI report, which will decide whether the US Federal Reserve will decide to cut interest rates quickly this year or whether its rhetoric will lean more toward slow cuts with a particular analysis of the path of inflation.  

Since last week, the implied path of interest rates in the US has changed quite a bit. Namely, one rate cut of 25 basis points in six months has been completely erased, which also almost ruled out the chance of a 50-point cut in September. Source: Bloomberg Financial LP

Gas prices are subject to downward pressure today in large part due to the emerging Tropical Cyclone Six in the Gulf of Mexico, which is expected to hit areas of Louisiana late Wednesday afternoon. The cyclone's appearance anywhere in Louisiana would disrupt the loading of LNG tankers closer to the Cameron, Calcasieu Pass or Sabine Pass terminals. According to analysts at Energy Aspects, LNG feedstock gas will be a key pillar of structural gas demand this fall, as cooling demand in the US slows. “Sabine Pass and Cameron are the two largest export terminals in the U.S., and even a brief shutdown of operations at either terminal would increase inventories in an already congested storage situation in the south-central part of the country,” - The analysts added.

US100 is reducing early gains and is trading in close proximity to a key support zone set by the 200-day EMA (gold curve on the chart). Source: xStation

Natgas extends declines to over 5%. Source: xStation

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

Share:
Back

Join over 1 600 000 XTB Group Clients from around the world.