Daily summary: ECB did not surprise, Biden wants to raise taxes significantly!

9:28 pm 22 April 2021

  • ECB left monetary policy unchanged
  • Biden's wants to double capital gains tax
  • Mixed data from the US

The European Central Bank did not surprise as much as the Bank of Canada did yesterday. The ECB kept the monetary policy unchanged, while pointing out that, in line with earlier assumptions, it would accelerate the pace of asset purchases. As one can see, there was no room for policy normalization here, which was also emphasized by Lagarde, which said that the ECB is very far from its target compared to other central banks such as the Fed or the BoC. The euro was relatively volatile during today's meeting, but in the end we observed a clear pull back to 1.20 level.

The data from the United States was mixed. On the one hand, claims have dropped to their lowest levels since the start of the pandemic, showing that opening up the economy is having a positive effect. On the other hand, data on existing property sales showed a further decline this year, indicating that housing price inflation may be too high for US consumers. Today's strong declines on Wall Street are related to the proposal of strong tax increases on capital gains and the highest income tax threshold.

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Grain prices are clearly rising in response to excellent US export data. China is taking over the leadership in corn imports, surpassing, for example, the European Union. Additionally, uncertainties about the US drought have a positive effect on prices. The prices of other commodities were mixed. Oil pauses after yesterday's sell-off, while gold is retreating after yesterday's strong gains to around $ 1,800 an ounce. Currently, gold is trading around $ 1,780.

Gold – buyers failed to break above the major resistance at $1800.00 and price pulled back. The nearest support  lies at the lower limit of the ascending channel and coincides with 50 SMA (green line). On the other hand, if buyers will manage to regain control and break above the aforementioned resistance, then next target for bulls is located at $1817.Source: xStation5

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

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