Daily summary: Falling yields support sentiments on Wall Street

9:53 pm 15 February 2024

  • Europe's major benchmarks had a successful session. The DAX and CAC40 rallied 0.6 and 0.8%, respectively, with the FTSE up less than 0.4% however the UK's GDP reading came out mixed:
  • UK GDP in m/m terms fell -0.1% vs. -0.2% forecast and 0.2% growth previously. In y/y terms, it turned out to be flat vs. 0.3% expansion forecast and -0.3% y/y decline previously. Monthly change averaged 3m/3m was -0.3% vs. -0.1% forecast and -0.2% previously. Q4 GDP fell 0.2% y/y vs. 0.1% expansion forecast and 0.2% growth previously
  • Mixed macro readings from the U.S. economy supported sentiment on Wall Street. The Nasdaq100 is trading slightly higher, with the S&P500 gaining 0.35% and the Dow Jones posting a 0.6% gain. However, the most dynamic gains are seen on the Russell 2000, which gains 1.35%
  • U.S. retail sales fell 0.8% m/m for January, suggesting weakness in the U.S. consumer and raising the prospect of faster interest rate cuts in the U.S.
  • U.S. industrial production falls 0.1% m/m on expectations of 0.3% m/m growth. This is further data showing weakness in US economic activity
  • Jobless claims came in lower than previously reported, but weaker than forecast. The reading indicated 212,000 vs the previous reading of 218,000 and 202,000 expected. Nevertheless, the reading is still very low and US job market remains strong
  • The Philly Fed and NY Empire State regional indexes came in above forecasts. The NY Empire index rises to -2.4, from -43.7. The Philadelphia Fed index rebounds to 5.2 from -10.6. However, it is worth remembering that previous readings did not give a good forecast for the PMI and ISM indexes. 
  • 10-yr treasuries yields fell from 4,253% to 4.234% and USDIDX loses 0.33%  however EURUSD still gains 0.35% intraday
  • Gold returned above $2,000 per ounce after a series of weak publications from the United States. Gold gained about 0.5%, while silver gained nearly 2.5%. 
  • The EURUSD pair rose for the second day in a row and tested the vicinity of the 1.0780 level. 
  • According to EIA report, gas inventories fell just 49 bcf, and it's the smallest drop for the period in at least 5 years. Natural gas fell below $1.6/MMBTU. 
  • Oil is recovering from yesterday's losses after news emerged of a strong increase in US crude inventories. Today, WTI crude oil returned above $77.5/MMBTU
  • Sentiments of the cryptocurrency market are positive. Bitcoin remains above $52,000 and Vechain is up 27% as investors weigh in on the protocol’s prospects ahead of a major announcement
  • Sounhound shares are trading up 71% in response to an investment by Nvidia disclosed to the SEC. The largest supplier of lithium for EVs, Albemarle is trading up 2.5%, despite a report that disappointed analysts' expectations
  • Networking infrastructure and hardware provider Cisco Systems loses 2% today, after quarterly report indicated slowing business; year-over-year revenue decline and flat services sales
  • Fed chair, Jerome Powell will testify before house panel (March 6) and before senate banking committee (March 7) according to Punchbowl.

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

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