Daily summary: Global stocks' relief rally fades, GBP regains some ground

8:45 pm 29 September 2022

  • European equities deepened recent sell-off, with Germany’s DAX and French CAC40 closing at almost two-year lows, down by 1.71% and 1.53%, respectively;
  •  Germany's inflation rate increased to 10.0% in September, well above market estimates, raising additional worries that the ECB will have to rate hikes more aggressively to tame surging inflation; 

  • The Germany finance ministry rolled out €200 billion energy subsidy package;

  • Kremlin is expected to annex four regions in Ukraine tomorrow and Putin will deliver a speech at 1:30 pm BST;

  • Major Wall Street indices also resumed downward move, erasing yesterday gains as better than expected claims report, upwardly revised core PCE prices for the second quarter raised concerns that inflation is much more persistent. Dow Jones is trading 1.80% lower, S&P 500 lost 2.35%, while Nasdaq plunged 3.20% to a 14-week low of 11105 pts;

  • Hawkish comments from several Fed members also weighed on market sentiment. Fed Mester said policymakers are not at a point where they should consider halting rate hikes. In her opinion inflation is expected to fall, but we will need a higher Fed funds rate to achieve that. Fed Bullard said there's a risk management emphasis, which means we need to stay higher for longer. He sees higher risk of recession, but that is not the base case at this time.

  • NATGAS price tested $6.63/MMBtu, the lowest in about two-and-a-half months, on the back of lower demand due to Hurricane Ian and forecasts for milder weather over the next two weeks. The EIA reported US utilities added 103 billion cubic feet (bcf) of gas to storage last week, above forecasts for a 94-bcf build.

  • Nickel, aluminum and copper rose sharply, following the news that LME is considering implementing ban on new supplies of Russian metals;

  • WTI crude is trading near $83 per barrel, bouncing off their daily lows of about $80 amid growing speculation that OPEC+ could intervene in markets by cutting again next week following reports that Russia is reportedly willing to reduce production by 1 mln bpd;

  • Gold managed to erase early losses and is trading slightly below the flatline around $1660 per ounce amid slightly weaker dollar, while silver price managed to stay above support at $18.60;

  • Reuters reported that PBOC advised major state-owned banks to be prepared to sell dollars in order to strengthen yuan;

  • Thursday's session brings temporary relief for EURUSD and GBPUSD buyers. Greenback fell 1.5% against the pound and less than 0.5% in terms of the euro, but it does not seem that today's pullback should threaten the dollar domination any time soon, especially considering the recent comments from Fed members and good data from the US.

  • Despite a pullback against EUR and GBP, the dollar managed to strengthen against other major currencies;

  • Major cryptocurrencies  almost completely recovered early losses and are performing quite well given the strong sell-off on global stock indices;

GOLD -Precious metals rebounded today thanks to the weaker dollar. Technically looking at gold on the H4 interval, the price hit a key resistance at $ 1662.00, which is marked with the upper limit of the 1: 1 structure. If sellers will manage to halt current upward momentum, then another downward impulse could be launched towards $ 1615. On the other hand, if current bullish sentiment prevails, traders should pay attention to resistances at $ 1671.5 and $ 1690.00, respectively. Source: xStation5

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

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