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Daily Summary: Oil slumps after OPEC+ meeting, GOLD eyes monthly close above $2,000

9:55 pm 30 November 2023

  • Wall Street indices trade mixed during the final session of November. S&P 500 drops 0.2%, Nasdaq trades 0.8% lower, Dow Jones rallies 0.8% and small-cap Russell 2000 adds 0.2%
  • Gold is on the way to book the first monthly close above $2,000 per ounce in history
  • Cryptocurrencies traded mixed today - Bitcoin dropped 0.1%, Ethereum gained 0.6%, Dogecoin jumped 3.7% and Ripple dropped 0.7%
  • CAD and NZD are the best performing G10 currencies while JPY and EUR lag the most
  • European stock market indices finished today's trading higher and booked the best month since January. German DAX gained 0.3%, UK FTSE 100 and Dutch AEX moved 0.4% higher, French CAC40 jumped 0.6%, while Italian FTSE MIB gained almost 0.2%
  • OPEC+ agreed to cut output by an additional million barrels per day. Saudi Arabia will also extend its voluntarily 1 million barrels per day output cut. New cuts announced are for Q1 2024
  • However, oil prices slumped after OPEC+ announcement of additional output cuts as they will be voluntarily and will be announced by countries individually, raising concerns that the cartel failed to agree on anything definitive
  • According to Energy Intel report, Brazil is set to join OPEC+ group, starting from January 2024. Brazilian officials said that the country is considering membership
  • Fed Daly said that it is still too early to know if Fed is done raising rates
  • Fed Williams said that Fed is at or near peak for interest rate target, but warned that if inflation pressures persist, Fed could hike again
  • BoE Greene said that she is concerned a soft landing might go wrong in the United Kingdom and that policy is less restrictive than Bank of England thought
  • ECB Nagel said that it is far too early to discuss rate cuts
  • According to US Energy Information Administration, US oil output increased 1.7% in September and reach a new monthly record of 13.24 million barrels per day
  • US PCE inflation slowed from 3.4 to 3.0% YoY in October (exp. 3.0% YoY), while core PCE inflation slowed from 3.7 to 3.5% YoY (exp. 3.5% YoY)
  • US jobless claims came in at 218k (exp. 220k), while continuing claims came in at 1927k (exp. 1865k)
  • Flash CPI inflation in euro area decelerated from 2.9 to 2.4% YoY in November(exp. 2.7% YoY), while core CPI decelerated from 4.2 to 3.6% YoY (exp. 3.9% YoY)
  • Chicago PMI jumped from 44.0 to 55.8 in November (exp. 45.5)
  • US pending home sales declined 1.5% MoM in October (exp. -2.0% MoM)
  • EIA report showed an unexpected 10 billion cubic feet build in US natural gas inventories (exp. -8 bcf)
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast for Q4 2023 dropped from 2.1% to 1.8%

WTI (OIL.WTI) erased daily gains as OPEC+ output cut announcement lacked details. Oil is now trading lower on the day but off the daily lows. Source: xStation5

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

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