Daily summary: Powell speech sparks volatility on the markets

10:17 pm 7 February 2023

  • Majority of European indices finished today's session slightly higher,  thanks to solid performance of energy stocks, with DAX being an exception (-0.16%). 
  • ECB's Schnabel said inflation slowdown is not yet linked to ECB policy. The decline is due to energy.

  • BP reported a record profit, increased dividend and a $2.75 billion share buyback, while Berenberg downgraded Airbus SE's stock to "sell" from "hold".

  • Major Wall Street experienced elevated volatility thanks to FED Chair Powell. Equities rose at the beginning of his speech as he reassured markets that the disinflationary process has begun, particularly in the goods sector and expects inflation to drop significantly in 2023. 

  • However moods reversed completely after the FED Chair warned that if strong labor market reports or higher inflation reports continue, the policymakers may need to raise rates more than is currently priced in.

  • The Dow Jones is trading 0.60% lower, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100  fell 0.2% and 0.10% respectively. Earlier Fed's Kashkari said that due to the overheated labour market, lowering inflation is more difficult and Fed may have to hold rates at a higher level for longer.

  • Zoom announced a 15% cut in its global workforce.

  • Microsoft unveiled a new Bing search and Edge browser powered by AI.

  • BoC Governor Macklem believes that if economy develops as forecast and inflation falls as predicted, more rate hikes will not be needed

  • OIL.WTI rose over 3.0% and tested local resistance at $77.00 as the terminal at Turkey's Ceyhan port, which exports Azeri crude oil, is set to be closed until Wednesday as a precaution after major earthquakes hit the country. 

  • US EIA raises forecast for 2023 world oil demand growth by 60,000 bpd, now sees 1.11 mln bpd YoY increase.

  • NATGAS bounced off recent lows at $2.34 as EIA sees 2023 US Natural Gas consumption at 87.04 bcfd in February STEO report, up from a forecast 86.74 bcfd in January.

  • Precious metals trade mixed amid weaker dollar and elevated treasury yields. Gold attempts to break above the $1875 mark, while silver continues to move towards key support at $22.00.

  • The US dollar weakened sharply after Powell's initial comments, however erased all losses at the end of the interview. The EURUSD pair returned to major support at 1.07. Nevertheless, the greenback weakened against JPY, CHF and AUD.

  • Major cryptocurrencies erased some of the early gains, however are still trading higher. Bitcoin oscillates above the $23000 mark, while Ethereum hovers near local resistance at $1650. 

USDCAD has been recently trading within the descending channel. Despite a dynamic rebound from the support at 0.9085, the currency pair failed to break above the upper limit of the channel. According to classical technical analysis, this strengthens downward move. However, should the upward movement resume, in addition to the channel, it is worth paying attention to the upper limit of the 1:1 structure at 0.9304 and the EMA100 around 0.9395. Source: xStation5

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

Share:
Back
Xtb logo

Join over 1 000 000 XTB Group Clients from around the world.

We use cookies

By clicking “Accept All”, you agree to the storing of cookies on your device to enhance site navigation, analyze site usage, and assist in our marketing efforts.

This group contains cookies that are necessary for our websites to work. They take part in functionalities like language preferences, traffic distribution or keeping user session. They cannot be disabled.

Cookie name
Description
SERVERID
userBranchSymbol cc 2 March 2024
adobe_unique_id cc 1 March 2025
__hssc cc 8 September 2022
SESSID cc 2 March 2024
__cf_bm cc 8 September 2022
intercom-id-iojaybix cc 26 November 2024
intercom-session-iojaybix cc 8 March 2024

We use tools that let us analyze the usage of our page. Such data lets us improve the user experience of our web service.

Cookie name
Description
__hstc cc 7 March 2023
__hssrc

This group of cookies is used to show you ads of topics that you are interested in. It also lets us monitor our marketing activities, it helps to measure the performance of our ads.

Cookie name
Description
hubspotutk cc 7 March 2023

Cookies from this group store your preferences you gave while using the site, so that they will already be here when you visit the page after some time.

Cookie name
Description

This page uses cookies. Cookies are files stored in your browser and are used by most websites to help personalise your web experience. For more information see our Privacy Policy You can manage cookies by clicking "Settings". If you agree to our use of cookies, click "Accept all".

Change region and language
Country of residence
Language