Daily summary: Recession risks continue to weigh on markets

10:01 pm 7 December 2022

  • Major European indices extended recent losses, with DAX closing 0.57% lower as investors continued to weigh persistent fears of a global recession, while disappointing Chinese trade data overshadowed Beijing's moderation of Covid restrictions. 
  • On the data front, revised Q3 GDP reading showed that the eurozone economy expanded more than previously estimated, but the block is  expected to fall into a recession at the beginning of 2023.

  • Wall Street indices are swinging between gains and losses in a volatile session as uncertainty around Fed future actions and recession concerns keep traders on edge. The chief executives of America's biggest companies, including JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, are feeling increasingly sour about the health of the US economy as it deals with the twin shocks of inflation and rising interest rates. 

  • On the data front, Labor Department data showed that productivity in Q3 topped estimates, while unit labor costs were significantly lower. 

  • Oil prices fell over 2.0% on Tuesday to the lowest level since the beginning of the year as rising demand concerns overshadowed a bigger than expected drop of US crude stocks and potential new EU sanctions on  Russian energy and mining sectors. Brent dropped below $78.00 level while WTI tested $72.25 mark. 

  • Precious metals rose amid a weaker dollar. Gold gains over 1.0% and is testing major resistance at $1790 per ounce, while silver bounced off key support at $22.00 currently oscillates around  $22.75 level.

  • This dollar's weakness was seen across the board, with some of the most pronounced selling activity against the Euro and the British Pound. The USDCAD pair briefly dropped below support at 1.3600 after BoC lifted interest rates by 50 bp to 4.25$ as widely expected, however does not rule out further increases. Currently NZD and GBP are the best performing currencies while USD and CAD lag the most.

  • Negative sentiment also weighed on major cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin retreated below $16800 level, while trades around $1230 mark.

GOLD is once again testing major resistance at $1790 per ounce, which is marked with previous price reactions and 200 SMA (red line). Source: xStation5

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

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