Daily Summary: Trade deal with the EU fuels end-of-week optimism 🎯

8:44 pm 25 July 2025

  • U.S. indexes post modest gains at the end of the week, driven by hopes for finalizing a trade agreement between the U.S. and the European Union.

  • President Donald Trump stated that most U.S. trade deals are practically ready — letters are currently being sent out specifying tariff rates, usually ranging from 10% to 15%. Regarding the EU, he expressed that there is a "pretty good chance" of reaching a trade agreement.

  • However, in relation to Canada, Trump admitted that talks are not going well and he is considering imposing unilateral trade tariffs.

  • European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said she had a positive phone call with President Trump and plans to meet him on Sunday in Scotland. The main topic of discussion will be maintaining strong transatlantic trade relations.

  • At the time of publication, the US500 and US100 were both up 0.28%, trading at 6,423 and 23,452 points respectively. The US2000 lost 0.11% to 2,265 points.

  • Intel (INTC.US) shares dropped 10% following mixed Q2 results and weak EPS guidance for Q3. The company is undergoing restructuring, reducing headcount by 15%, and scaling back factory plans in Europe and Costa Rica.

  • Deckers Outdoor (DECK.US) surged 12.30% after a strong Q1. The company reported nearly 17% revenue growth driven by its HOKA and UGG brands. Q2 guidance also topped expectations, with forecasted sales of $1.38–$1.42B and EPS of $1.50–$1.55.

  • Sentiment was more subdued. Germany’s DAX declined 0.27% on the cash market, while Poland’s WIG20 fell nearly 0.18%. Orlen shares underperformed in Poland, whereas Dino Polska gained.

  • LVMH (MC.FR) – The group reported a 9% drop in sales from its fashion and leather goods segment in Q2, once again disappointing the market. The biggest demand drop came from China and Japan. Despite €9B in H1 net income (above forecasts), shares declined. Louis Vuitton plans a new factory in Texas in response to tariffs, while Dior enters a transition phase under Jonathan Anderson. Still, the fashion sector is showing resilience, partly due to recent comments about easing tariff pressure.

  • Improved sentiment — primarily rising confidence in the U.S. following Trump’s comments about a pending deal with the EU — pushed gold prices down over 1%.

  • For the same reason, strong risk appetite is also reflected in the U.S. dollar, which is among the best-performing currencies today.

  • Bitcoin sees a slight correction of 1.86% to $116,100. Ethereum is down about 1.90% to $3,635, and other altcoins fall 0.90%, bringing total market cap to $999B. Bitcoin dominance slips slightly but remains high at 61.60%.

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