Morning wrap (02.05.2024)

8:43 am 2 May 2024

  • Bond markets gained after Powell's speech yesterday, which was seen as rather dovish, looking at the piling up problems in US inflation readings
  • Although the decline in yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds was halted to some extent today; they are still down 11 basis points from their local highs of April 25 at 4.7% level
  • U.S. index contracts are gaining, and European benchmark quotes are pointing to a higher opening, including on the Old Continent. EURUSD is gaining 0.04% today and has returned above the 1.07 level 
  • The Hang Seng rose more than 2.2%, but most indexes from APAC markets saw little volatility. The Nikkei and Korea's KOSPI lost slightly.
  • Building permits in Australia rose 1.9% m/m vs. 3.4% forecast and -1.9% previously. Korea's manufacturing PMI indicated 49.4 vs. 49.8 previously
  • The USDJPY has rapidly recovered much of its losses after the Bank of Japan's likely intervention, and is now gaining almost 1%. Consumer sentiment in Japan came in weaker than forecast; the reading indicated 38.3 vs. 39.8 forecast and 39.5 previously, which the market takes as a signal that the BoJ will have arguments not to tighten policy and keep the yen weak for longer
  • Japan's Kanda indicated that he would not give the markets information on interventions; data on them will be released at the end of the month
  • Qualcomm shares gain more than 4% after financial results. The company beat expectations for earnings per share and revenue, and issued forecasts in ranges suggesting a possible, significant improvement in the business 
  • CBOT wheat contracts gain 0.6%. Press releases pointed to a fire at a port, in Odessa, Ukraine, after a Russian missile attack
  • Oil gains 0.5% today, but is still trading below $84 per barrel. NATGAS gains more than 1.5% and is approaching $2 per MMBTu. Precious metals contracts are trading down slightly, with gold losing 0.2% and falling to $2315 per ounce
  • Israel announced that the Gaza war operation will continue 'with force'; the IDF is planning a sizable offensive in the north of the Strip. The news came moments after Netanyahu's conversation with Secretary of State Blinken, who was said to be urging Israel toward peaceful solutions.
  • Sentiment of the cryptocurrency market remains weak. Bitcoin is trading near $57,500
  • Gundlach of DoubleLine Capital indicated that he expects one rate cut this year, but does not see a stable, sustainable path to bring U.S. inflation to the 2% target. At the same time, he sees no risk of stagflation or recession for the US economy at present
  • An earthquake measuring 4.3 on the Richter scale struck the west coast of California overnight 

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

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