Salesforce surprised with Q2 earnings 📈 AI 'helping hand'?

7:08 pm 31 August 2023

Shares of software company Salesforce (CRM.US) gained nearly 6% after opening the U.S. session supported by Q2 results, but have since managed to give back much of the gains and are currently trading at 3.5% plus. The company beat analysts' expectations and is likely to benefit from AI due to its broad access to customer data. The biggest 'problem' seems to be the current valuation with PE ratios near 70 pct and 'forward PE' at 30 pct, which has probably prompted investors to reduce positions on the stock and be more cautious in the context of weaker macro data:

  • Revenues: $8.60 billion vs. forecast of $8.53 billion
  • Adjusted earnings per share (EPS): $2.12 forecast $1.90
  • Operating margin: 31.6% vs. forecast 28.2%.
  • Free cash flow: $630 million vs. forecast $445 million

Salesforce raised its outlook for fiscal 2024, counting on revenue in the range of $34.7 billion to $34.8 billion versus the previous revenue estimate of $34.5 billion to $34.7 billion (Wall Street expected $34.6 billion). The company's adjusted income from operations was more than $2.7 billion (77% year-on-year increase) vs. estimates of $2.42 billion. The company's CEO Marc Benioff communicated clearly that the company wants to reassert its leadership in innovative AI solutions over its competitors, and is making every effort to maintain that status with the interests of the company as well as its customers in mind. 

Macro pressure?

  • Wall Street had unaffordable expectations for Q2, making it easier for the company to beat forecasts. On the other hand, results remained strong despite a mixed macroeconomic landscape. Analysts pointed out that the report was improved by better execution, not an improvement in business scale (which may well position Salesforce 'for better times');
  • Citi analysts believe that while the results were good, the difficult macro environment will be a major challenge for the company in the face of lower business spending from multinationals. In their view, margin improvement is likely to have already reached 'the point of maximum' and accelerated growth or lower costs are unlikely at the moment and are the main challenge (although the company's position as an 'AI leader' may help here);
  • Guggenheim analysts, on the other hand, expressed doubts about the company's forecasts because market circumstances do not reflect Salesforce's positive outlook for the second half of the year, which raises the possibility of negative disappointment if the company fails to reach its self-imposed higher revenue range. 
  • At the same time, it seems that the company may become a long-term beneficiary of the AI trend due to the powerful scope of its customers' data. Stifel analysts raised their recommendation to $275 per share as a result.

Salesforce (CRM.US) shares, H4 interval. Source: xStation5

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

Share:
Back

Join over 1 600 000 XTB Group Clients from around the world.