BREAKING: Gold and US100 react to US PCE and GDP data

April’s PCE data surprised to the upside, with monthly inflation coming in at 0.4% MoM, below market expectations of 0.5%. The reading suggests a modest easing in price pressures compared to March, when PCE surged by 0.7% MoM. On an annual basis, headline PCE inflation remained at 3.8% YoY, in line with forecasts.

Core PCE delivers a positive surprise

Core PCE — the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge — rose by just 0.2% MoM, beating expectations of 0.3%. This is a clear signal that underlying inflationary pressures are easing faster than markets had anticipated. On a yearly basis, Core PCE stood at 3.3% YoY, matching consensus estimates, but combined with the softer monthly print, markets may interpret the data as opening the door to earlier Fed rate cuts.

GDP revised lower

The second estimate of Q1 2026 GDP disappointed, coming in at 1.6% QoQ versus expectations of 2.0% and the previous reading of 2.0%. The downward revision confirms that the U.S. economy is slowing more than previously expected.

Market implications

Taken together, the data paints a picture of a milder stagflationary risk environment. However, inflation remains the market’s primary focus, and today’s relatively reassuring reading is supporting a rebound in the US100 index visible just minutes after the release.

Source: xStation

19 June 2026, 14:30

US Closed: Postponed negotiations weigh on futures

19 June 2026, 13:14

Market wrap: Limited volatility and a strong dollar

19 June 2026, 12:37

The markets react to Andy Burnham’s resounding win in Makerfield

19 June 2026, 08:06

3 things to watch on Friday

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

Indices

Cookie name	Description
SERVERID
userBranchSymbol	Expiration date 1 day
adobe_unique_id	Expiration date 364 days
test_cookie	Expiration date 1 hour
SESSID	Expiration date 1 day
__hssc	Expiration date 1 hour
__cf_bm	Expiration date 1 hour
intercom-id-iojaybix	Expiration date 270 days
intercom-session-iojaybix	Expiration date 6 days
xtbCookiesSettings	Expiration date 364 days
xtbLanguageSettings	Expiration date 364 days
TS5b68a4e1027
countryIsoCode
userPreviousBranchSymbol	Expiration date 364 days
_cfuvid
intercom-device-id-iojaybix	Expiration date 270 days
__cfruid
UserMatchHistory	Expiration date 29 days

Cookie name	Description
_gid	Expiration date 1 day
_gat_UA-22576382-1	Expiration date 1 hour
_gat_UA-121192761-1	Expiration date 1 hour
_ga_CBPL72L2EC	Expiration date 729 days
_ga	Expiration date 729 days
AnalyticsSyncHistory	Expiration date 29 days
af_id	Expiration date 394 days
afUserId	Expiration date 729 days
AF_SYNC	Expiration date 6 days
__hstc	Expiration date 179 days
__hssrc
_vwo_uuid_v2	Expiration date 365 days
_ga_TC79BEJ20L	Expiration date 729 days
_vwo_uuid	Expiration date 365 days
_vwo_ds	Expiration date 29 days
_vwo_sn	Expiration date 1 hour
_vis_opt_s	Expiration date 99 days
_vis_opt_test_cookie
_gcl_au	Expiration date 89 days

Cookie name	Description
MUID	Expiration date 389 days
_omappvp	Expiration date 3998 days
_omappvs	Expiration date 1 hour
_uetsid	Expiration date 1 day
_uetvid	Expiration date 389 days
_fbp	Expiration date 89 days
fr	Expiration date 89 days
muc_ads	Expiration date 729 days
lang
_ttp	Expiration date 389 days
_tt_enable_cookie	Expiration date 389 days
hubspotutk	Expiration date 179 days
YSC
VISITOR_INFO1_LIVE	Expiration date 179 days
li_sugr	Expiration date 89 days
guest_id_marketing	Expiration date 729 days
guest_id_ads	Expiration date 729 days
guest_id	Expiration date 729 days
MSPTC	Expiration date 389 days
IDE	Expiration date 389 days
VISITOR_PRIVACY_METADATA	Expiration date 179 days

Cookie name	Description
personalization_id	Expiration date 729 days
UserMatchHistory	Expiration date 29 days
bcookie	Expiration date 364 days
lidc	Expiration date 1 day
lang
bscookie	Expiration date 364 days
li_gc	Expiration date 179 days