The DAX (DE30) opens slightly higher at the beginning of the week. However, initial gains have been somewhat reduced, and currently, the German index is only up by 0.20% ahead of the publication of the Ifo business sentiment index.
The forecasted reading of the index indicates a further deterioration of sentiment in Germany. In September, the Ifo is expected to drop to 85.2 from 85.7 the previous month. These levels suggest that the German economy is undergoing a significant slowdown, which is also confirmed by other macroeconomic readings. Historically, these Ifo index levels were only seen during the pandemic in 2020 and before the crisis in 2008.
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Create account Try a demo Download mobile app Download mobile appThe overall condition of the German economy remains weak; however, this doesn't significantly impact the main DAX (DE30) index prices for several reasons. First, the economic slowdown is not yet evident in the financial results of companies, and for now, forecasts also remain optimistic. Secondly, many companies listed on the DAX are international corporations, with a significant portion of their operations and sales occurring outside Germany. Companies like BMW, Siemens, and Bayer have a global character, which means that their results can be influenced by global economic conditions, not just those in Germany. For this reason, index quotations are more dependent on the economic climate in the USA than in Germany, which is clearly seen when comparing the chart with SP500 (US500).
From a technical perspective, the DAX is currently testing the support level at 15,650 points again. This barrier was a significant resistance level before April this year when the index tried several times to rise above it. Since then, the mentioned level has been a key support zone, from which the index has rebounded 7 times. We are currently during the 8th test on a daily interval. However, divergence on MACD and increasingly weaker upward rebounds may indicate that the buying strength is waning, and soon the index may permanently break below the 15,650-point level. In such a case, the next support zones would be the 15,450-15,500 point area. Source: xStation 5.
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