DE30: Carmakers move higher after Volkswagen’s earnings

08:54 2 May 2019

Summary:
- European stock markets start day on the weaker footing
- Volkswagen (VOW.DE) surges on the back of good Q1 earnings
- Deutsche Bank (DBK.DE) has no plans after Commerzbank talks collapsed

European equities had a rough start to today’s session with almost every blue chips index from the Old Continent trading lower after the first hour and a half. Things were played similarly during the Asian trading hours were stocks in Australia moved lower. Note that traders from China and Japan are off for holidays therefore trading volumes may be lower during the European session as well.

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Rally on the DE30 market (DAX futures underlying) eased ahead of the 12400 pts handle. This hurdle saw some price action in the previous year therefore bulls may find it a bit harder to crack. Nevertheless, the upward momentum is stunning but fuel may be slowly running out. Source: xStation5

The German automotive sector had a rough year, mostly on the back of trade issues among the world's biggest economies. However, it seems that the beginning of 2019 was better than markets expected. Volkswagen (VOW.DE) released earnings report for the first quarter of the year today before the opening bell and it turned out to be a positive surprise. The German carmaker generated revenue of €60 billion, 2.5% higher than analysts’ estimates, while EPS reached €7.236 against expected €6.497. What may be even more important is the fact that the company decided to uphold full-year targets. Volkswagen said that it is confident of reaching those goals even in spite of slowing global economy and rising legal costs relating to Dieselgate affair. Volkswagen leads DAX gains today, while other German carmakers, like Daimler or BMW, also move higher on the back of the sector-wide optimism.

Volkswagen (VOW.DE) has been trading within a consolidation range for around three quarters but managed to break above the upper limit recently. Following a retest of the recently broken resistance zone the carmaker shares surged on the back of strong earnings report. The €164 handle may be the first level to watch for bulls. Source: xStation5

What was expected to be one of the biggest mergers on the German stock market - tie-up of the Deutsche Bank (DBK.DE) and Commerzbank (CBK.DE) - will not happen. Talks broke down some time ago as the two lenders realized the differences between them make it impossible to deliver value-enhancing merger. Having said that Deutsche Bank’s situation remains unchanged - revenue is declining, costs are high and its biggest domestic rival, Commerzbank, is still on the market. However, what is extremely downbeat is that the lender seems to have no plan for the future. Turnaround plans were slow to take effect and growth through acquisition is rather improbable option now. In case the bank's executives fail to present new steps aimed at restoring earlier profitability, the Deutsche Bank may face a rating downgrade. Such a development would do all but help the German bank.

DAX members at 9:35 am BST. Source: Bloomberg

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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