It’s not only doubling the taper – one of the messages from the materials is much steeper before curve of future expected rate increases. The median sees 3 hikes in 2022 and another 3 in 2023. This is more than markets expect but bear in mind that Powell’s dot is probably lower than the median (our guess in yellow).
Start investing today or test a free demo
Create account Try a demo Download mobile app Download mobile appSource: federalreserve, XTB Research
That’s still a significant hawkish turn but this is also more or less what markets have been expecting so the first reaction is actually a big unwind – US100 surges and precious metals recover. Watch out this Silver chart as here we can either have a huge breakout or a massive turnaround.
Source: xStation5
This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.