Florida and Pennsylvania – 2 key states to watch!

19:27 3 November 2020

Earlier today we were writing about Florida and how increased number of voters registered as Republicans was spreading rumor that Trump could win the state by the landslide (even though Rep registered voters can also vote Biden). Florida is the largest swing state (let’s consider Texas as fairly safe for Trump for the ease of this analysis) and the second largest is Pennsylvania. Voting in both states ends at 1pm GMT but there are differences. Trump should ideally win both states, if he lose one – he absolutely needs to win another or it’s over.

Florida – the state has been counting votes  for 2 weeks and some counties will end voting earlier than 1pm. So lots of results should be available relatively early. If the results point at Biden win, it could be pretty much over for Trump.

Pennsylvania – here counting of the mail votes has not begun and some of the counties will NOT even begin voting them today! So unless available results from in-person voting are very clear, the state might not be decided for a long time. If Trump gets Florida and Penn is unclear, the whole election result could be in the air for days or even weeks!

Source: FiveThirtyEight.com  

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