Instant view: Strong private consumption sends the buck somewhat higher

13:39 26 July 2019

Summary:

  • US economy expands more than expected in Q2
  • Private consumption sees a robust rebound from the lacklustre first quarter
  • US dollar moves higher along with bond yields

The US economy grew 2.1% QoQ in annualized terms in the three months through June, according to the first GDP reading. That was above the market consensus pointing to a 1.8% increase. What could be a reassuring sign is the fact that private consumption jumped as much as 4.3%, quite easily exceeding expectations calling for a bounce to 4%. On top of that, we were offered an upward revision to the prior quarter to 1.1% from 0.9%. It does not look like the US economy is going to any economic downturn, hence a rate cut expected by market participants next week seems to be yet more ridiculous.

The US dollar jumps a bit higher on the solid GDP prints along with the 10Y bond yield spiking almost 3 bps toward 2.1%. Source: xStation5 

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