Gold surges 1.5% amid political uncertainty and Fed rate cuts bets 📈

Key takeaways

Kalshi prices in more than 22 days of US government shutdown
Gold surges more than 1.5% to 3950 USD per ounce
Sanae Takeichi win boosts chances for dovish monetary policy in Japan

Key takeaways

Kalshi prices in more than 22 days of US government shutdown
Gold surges more than 1.5% to 3950 USD per ounce
Sanae Takeichi win boosts chances for dovish monetary policy in Japan

Gold prices continue their nearly uninterrupted upward streak, gradually approaching the $4,000 per ounce mark. The RSI indicator climbed above 84 today, signaling overbought conditions — levels last seen at the turn of 2023 and 2024. Interestingly, gold prices are rising despite a stronger U.S. dollar and climbing bond yields, which have increased by more than 3 basis points to nearly 4.16%.

Still, investors are pricing in a faster rate cut in the United States, with odds for October now increasing. Meanwhile, political tensions are also emerging abroad — in Japan, where the victory of a party favoring loose fiscal policy and exporters could shape future policy, and in France, where the government has been dissolved.

In the U.S., the government shutdown has entered its sixth day, and Kalshi markets now estimate it could last over 22 days.

GOLD (D1 timeframe)

Source: xStation5

13 July 2026, 6:02 PM

Gold Extends Losses to 3% Following Comments from Fed's Waller 🏛️

13 July 2026, 4:49 PM

🚨Trump proposes 20% toll on all Hormuz cargo

13 July 2026, 3:27 PM

BREAKING: Trump reimposes a blockade on the Strait and announces a 20% “toll” on traffic passing through this route 🚢

13 July 2026, 3:01 PM

US OPEN: Capital is once again fleeing “memory stocks”; Wall Street under pressure at the open 🚨

Crypto

Cookie name	Description
SERVERID
userBranchSymbol	Expiration date 1 day
test_cookie	Expiration date 1 hour
adobe_unique_id	Expiration date 364 days
__hssc	Expiration date 1 hour
SESSID	Expiration date 1 day
__cf_bm	Expiration date 1 hour
intercom-id-iojaybix	Expiration date 270 days
intercom-session-iojaybix	Expiration date 6 days
xtbCookiesSettings	Expiration date 364 days
TS5b68a4e1027
countryIsoCode
xtbLanguageSettings	Expiration date 364 days
userPreviousBranchSymbol	Expiration date 364 days
intercom-device-id-iojaybix	Expiration date 270 days
__cfruid
_cfuvid

Cookie name	Description
_gid	Expiration date 1 day
_gat_UA-98728395-1	Expiration date 1 hour
_gat_UA-121192761-1	Expiration date 1 hour
_gcl_au	Expiration date 89 days
_ga_CBPL72L2EC	Expiration date 729 days
_ga	Expiration date 729 days
__hstc	Expiration date 179 days
__hssrc
_vwo_uuid_v2	Expiration date 365 days
_ga_TC79BEJ20L	Expiration date 729 days
_vwo_uuid	Expiration date 365 days
_vwo_ds	Expiration date 29 days
_vwo_sn	Expiration date 1 hour
_vis_opt_s	Expiration date 99 days
_vis_opt_test_cookie
af_id	Expiration date 394 days
afUserId	Expiration date 730 days
AF_SYNC	Expiration date 6 days
AnalyticsSyncHistory	Expiration date 29 days

Cookie name	Description
MUID	Expiration date 389 days
_omappvp	Expiration date 3998 days
_omappvs	Expiration date 1 hour
_uetsid	Expiration date 1 day
_uetvid	Expiration date 389 days
_fbp	Expiration date 89 days
fr	Expiration date 89 days
_ttp	Expiration date 89 days
_tt_enable_cookie	Expiration date 89 days
hubspotutk	Expiration date 179 days
IDE	Expiration date 389 days
YSC
VISITOR_INFO1_LIVE	Expiration date 179 days
li_sugr	Expiration date 89 days
guest_id_marketing	Expiration date 729 days
guest_id_ads	Expiration date 729 days
guest_id	Expiration date 729 days
muc_ads	Expiration date 729 days
VISITOR_PRIVACY_METADATA	Expiration date 179 days
MSPTC	Expiration date 389 days

Cookie name	Description
bcookie	Expiration date 364 days
lidc	Expiration date 1 day
UserMatchHistory	Expiration date 29 days
bscookie	Expiration date 364 days
li_gc	Expiration date 179 days
personalization_id	Expiration date 729 days