Mild weather forecasts put pressure on gas prices
NATGAS price broke below $6.0/MMBtu at the beginning of new week as forecasts of milder weather may lowere heating demand in late December. Last week, NATGAS added 5% amid signs of robust foreign demand and a drop in domestic output. Last Thursday natural gas flowing towards US LNG terminals jumped to 13 bcf per day, a level not seen since June, which indicates solid international demand. At the same time, extreme low temperatures from North Dakota to Texas caused pipes and gas wells to freeze, which negatively affected production. Meanwhile, the Freeport LNG export plant in Texas, which is not working since June, expects to resume operations at the end of December, leaving more supply on the US market.
Meanwhile EU countries agree on a gas price cap of €180/mwh (up from €175/mwh originally suggested) that will take effect on February 15th.
Start investing today or test a free demo
Create account Try a demo Download mobile app Download mobile appFrom technical point of view, NATGAS price extends Friday sell-off and is moving toward a 5-month low of $5.30/MMBtu hit on December 6th. Earlier, sellers may face a local support at 5.72, which is marked with previous price reactions.
NATGAS, H4 interval. Source: xStation5
The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.
