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05:00 · 4 November 2020

Biden wins one battle ...

US100
Indices
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Trump-friendly Fox News has already announced a Biden win in Arizona. Those who follow our updates should not be surprised - Biden led in this state and we marked it on the "map". However, this is the first major state that Biden takes over for the Democrats.
What does it change? Biden does not have to win in Wisconsin, which will be the first of the "big three" (Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania) to report the results. However if he loses there, then he will almost certainly have to win in Michigan and Pennsylvania. Even so, the bookies took a little off the tone - they give Trump less than 60% chance of winning, and the US100 pulls back quite a bit.

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