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13:31 · 11 July 2024

BREAKING: US CPI lower than expected. US500 gains 📈

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US CPI for June came in 3% YoY vs 3.1% exp. and 3.3% previously (-0.1% MoM vs 0.1% exp. and 0% previously)

US Core CPI for June came in 3.3% YoY vs 3.4% exp. and 3.4% previously (0.1% MoM vs 0.2% exp. and 0.2% previously)

  • US June CPI food inflation came in 0.2%, also housing inflation was 0.2% higher, while rent was up 0.3% MoM 

US jobless claims came in 222k vs 235k exp. and 238k previously (1.852M continued jobless claims vs 1,86M exp. and 1.858M previously)

After the data released, Fed fund futures traders bet more on September rate cuts in US economy. Wall Street indices are higher. Markets price in 85% chance of a September Fed rate cut after CPI (vs about 70% before).

Source: xStation5

Source: BLS, Macrobond, XTB Research

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