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13:31 · 15 June 2023

BREAKING: USD dips after retail sales data

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US retail sales data for May was released at 1:30 pm BST today, the final piece of top-tier US data scheduled for this week. However, as the FOMC meeting is already behind us, the impact of the data release on the market was rather limited.

Actual data turned out to be better than the market expected. Headline retail sales beat expectations, core retail sales (ex-autos) came in-line while core-core retail sales (ex-autos & gas) also came in above expectations. Report highlights strength of the US consumer, which is an argument for Fed to continue with rate hikes in order to bring inflation down.

US, retail sales for May

  • Headline: +0.3% MoM vs -0.1% MoM expected (+0.4% MoM previously)
  • Ex-autos: +0.1% MoM vs +0.1% MoM expected (+0.4% MoM previously)
  • Ex-autos & gas: +0.4% MoM vs +0.2% MoM expected (+0.6% MoM previously)

USDJPY dipped following US retail sales release and moved below 50-period moving average on 15-minute interval (green line). Source: xStation5

Source: Macrobond, XTB Research

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