Statements by the CEOs of major US banks today sounded 'disinflationary' today. CEO of Bank of America, Moynihan indicated that inflation rates in the US are falling and BofA's CEO, Bortwhick conveyed that the bank is seeing lower mortgage demand. Both of these comments look rather unfavorable for the 'greenback' and may suggest that the Fed will reconsider a possible rate hike in May. But James Bullard, the St.Louis Fed chair known for his hawkish stance, spoke on the situation in the US economy - his comments strengthened the dollar. Nevertheless, EURUSD is rebounding and trying to face a key short-term resistance level.
Fed Bullard
- Forecasts of a recession in the US ignore the strength of the labor market, and savings from the pandemic still have to be used after all, boosting demand;
- With little tangible progress on inflation, interest rates must continue to rise;
- The risk of banking stress causing widespread problems seems to have diminished, but we are still watching the situation closely;
- The Fed should avoid giving extensive decision guidance at its next meeting and keep all options on the table as possible;
- I still see an appropriately restrictive interest rate of 5.50%-5.75%. We are leaning toward keeping the rate longer until inflation is brought under control.
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Create account Try a demo Download mobile app Download mobile appEURUSD is trying to stop the declines. However, the short-term resistance line in the form of the SMA200 on the M15 interval may prove crucial. The US Congress is scheduled to vote on the debt ceiling bill next week. Source: xStation5
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