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17:59 · 20 June 2025

Fed's Barkin comments on US economy 🏛️

Fed member, Thomas Barkin commented today the situation in the US economy and businesses. Here is the breakdown from his remarks. His comments are more 'hawkish' than Fed Waller's; Barkin signals no rush with a rate cut and still 'wait & see' mode due to unexpected effects from tariffs.

Fed Barkin

  • Businesses are still in wait-and-see mode on capital spending and hiring plans.

  • There is no conviction on where trade policy will settle, or on how it will impact prices and jobs.

  • Firms not impacted by tariffs see confusion over trade policy as a moment to raise prices for other reasons.

  • Firms say they expect to raise prices later in the year as more expensive imported goods work into their inventories.

  • The job market and consumption are holding up.

  • There is nothing urgent in the data warranting a rate cut at this point.

  • We can't ignore a spike in inflation if it comes; price indexes are still above target.

  • I am not ready to dismiss inflation risk from tariffs.

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