Instant View: Is European Industry out of the woods?

09:37 22 November 2019

German manufacturing PMI up to 43.8 from 42.1
German services PMI down to 51.3 from 51.6
French manufacturing PMI up to 51.6 from 50.7
French services PMI flat at 52.9

Flash European PMIs are the key highlight this Friday. After a long period of weak business sentiment investors hoped that business conditions would eventually improve. This improvement was observed in manufacturing: PMI climbed to 51.6 points in France and to 43.8 points in Germany. For both it was the highest level since June and partly fueled by higher new orders (certainly a positive development). Services PMIs disappointed a bit but these moves are not major. Although composite PMI for the whole EMU could be below the consensus, an improvement in manufacturing is the most important takeaway.

At long last? German manufacturing shows some life in November. Source: Macrobond, XTB Research

There’s a long way to go, though. German manufacturing sentiment is still at depressed levels and this recovery needs to be sustained for few months to ensure that recession risks fade.

We’ve seen 2 failed breakout attempts lately on DE30. Is the data enough to trigger a bigger move? Source: xStation

Traders should watch for more PMIs today: first ever flash PMIs for the UK (9:30 GMT) and more importantly – flash US PMIs (2:45pm GMT).

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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