Trump leads the betting polls, the return of risk aversion

Despite the fact that votes are still counted in many swing states, and many of them are currently led by Biden, the market is seeing a significant retreat from risk. The dollar is gaining, yields are sharply down, and the Wall Street futures are also in retreat.

EURUSD is testing the recent local lows. Source: xStation5

Do investors fear the wall with Mexico again? USDMXN at its highest level since October 7. Source: xStation5

The initial increase in bond yields is being offset. Currently, 10-year yields are falling by almost 10 basis points. Source: xStation5

Meanwhile, Betfair shows that Trump's odds of winning are 71%. Previously, this rating was only 32%.

14 July 2026, 18:34

Daily Summary: Lower inflation weakens the dollar and awakens gold and S&P 500 to gains

14 July 2026, 16:10

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Q&A from Congress Testimony: Inflation stability is a key

14 July 2026, 15:02

Dollar sells-off following first US price drop in six years

14 July 2026, 14:51

Warsh's Address to Congress: Zero Tolerance for Inflation, But No Change in Interest Rates?

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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