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16:10 · 29 June 2023

USDIDX highest in a fortnight!

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The US Dollar Index (USDIDX) came out today at its highest levels in a fortnight. The broad-market appreciation of the world's reserve currency was directly attributable to incoming macro data from the US today, namely a higher-than-consensus reading for US GDP (2.0%; expected: 1.4%; prior: 1.3%) and private consumption (4.2%; expected: 3.8%; prior: 3.8%). These data, combined with lower unemployment claims (239,000; expected: 265,000; prior: 265,000), laid a very strong foundation for a narrative supporting further US rate rises. 

As Jerome Powell said at an international conference in Sintra, Portugal, these hikes are expected by most Fed bankers to be two more, which was not in line with market predictions.

The USDIDX index price is currently testing the resistance set by the 100-day exponential moving average (purple curve on the chart). Source: xStation 5

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