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⛩ Yen falls to a 24-year low

13:52 21 June 2022

USDJPY breaks above 136.00 resistance as BoJ is expected to maintain loose policy

USDJPY continues to move sharply higher today, rebounding from 135 support and breaking the 2002 highs. Today, Japanese currency is by far the weakest among majors, while the euro is the strongest, so the scale of movement on the EURJPY is also significant.

Coming back to the yen, it is worth noting that absolutely nothing has changed in the policy of the central bank, despite rising inflation. The BoJ continues to buy bonds, even more aggressively on the recent rise in Japanese yields. Recently, Japanese authorities have expressed concern about the yen being too weak.

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It is worth remembering that nothing lasts forever and the recent surprising move from the SNB is the best example. Nevertheless, the communication from the SNB took place many weeks before the movement. At the moment, there is no such communication from the BoJ. According to Citi, the BoJ's policy will not change until 2023, with the end of the term of the current chairman Haruhiko Kuroda.

USDJPY pair breaks above136 level. One can see that only in May we had a short-term downward move, as some market partici[ants expected a more dovish Fed. Now everything indicates that the Fed will raise rates even to 3.5% this year. If the BoJ policy does not change, and the indexes do not crash by another 20%, there is a chance to test another psychological resistance at 140.00. On the other hand, any signal of changes in the BoJ policy may end the current trend. Source: xStation5

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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