At the moment, Joe Biden's situation does not look good - in theory, his path to victory was easier, but now some paths are practically closed. He almost certainly lost Florida, and it's hard to believe that he will be able to make up for the losses in Texas. One can forget about Biden's easy win. But what else can change in his favor? Election results in states such as Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
Source: realclearpolitics, XTB Analysis Department
If the election ended at this point, then Trump wins them 288 to 244, but in these three states, Trump's advantage is not significant, and there is still a lot of votes to be counted, including postal votes in which Biden should lead. The Democrat candidate must take over two of these states (Penn gives 20 votes, Mich 16 and Wis 10) and not lose Minnesota in which he has a slight advantage. So it's not over yet, although Trump is currently on the rise. However, we mentioned earlier that at some point the situation could be like this, because votes that were cast on election day are mainly counted today (more Republican voters - they are not afraid of the pandemic).
Source: npr.orgMeanwhile, runoff for a Senate seat in Georgia is already certain - one of the Republican candidates has resigned. Moods in the market are a bit calmer, however the DE30 is still trading above yesterday's close and is approaching the key resistance zone.
